• VIX
    Loading…
  • BIST 100
    Loading…
  • UST Yield 10y
    Loading…
  • S&P 500
    Loading…
  • Brent Oil
    Loading…
  • XAU/TRY
    Loading…
  • EUR/TRY
    Loading…
  • USD/TRY
    Loading…
  • XAU/USD
    Loading…
  • EUR/USD
    Loading…

/

Category

/

The UK is quietly unwinding its post-2008 banking firewall

The UK is quietly unwinding its post-2008 banking firewall

Photo: Hiba Q. Omar

After the 2008 financial crisis, Britain drew a hard line inside its biggest banks. The trading desks and investment arms — the parts of the bank that took big risks and sometimes blew up — had to be kept legally and financially separate from the part that held your savings and processed your mortgage. The idea was simple: if the gamblers lost, the depositors wouldn't pay for it.

Next week, the UK government is expected to start dismantling that firewall.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's government signaled the shift last week as part of its legislative agenda for the new parliamentary session. Sky News reported on Saturday that more detailed proposals could come as soon as Monday, with Finance Minister Rachel Reeves having signed off on the plan.

**What's actually changing**

Two things, specifically. First, Britain's biggest banks would be allowed to lend at lower funding costs to organizations that align with the government's economic policy goals — a technical change, but one that lets banks move money more freely across the boundary that currently constrains them. Second, banks would be allowed to share more services between the ring-fenced and non-ring-fenced sides of their operations, cutting their internal costs.

Neither change sounds dramatic in isolation. Together, they represent the government's judgment that the post-crisis rules have become a drag on the economy — making British banks less competitive and more expensive to run — and that the risk of another 2008-style contagion is now manageable enough to loosen the constraints.

That judgment may be right. It may not be. But it's worth being clear about what the tradeoff is.

**The logic — and the gamble**

The original ring-fencing rules, introduced after the 2008 crisis, were designed precisely because "too big to fail" banks had discovered they could privatize their gains and socialize their losses. When the investment arms collapsed, governments stepped in to save the retail arms — and ordinary taxpayers bore the cost. The firewall was meant to ensure that couldn't happen again, or at least that if it did, the contagion would be contained.

Loosening those rules doesn't make another crisis inevitable. But it does mean that the buffer between risky banking activity and the accounts ordinary people depend on gets thinner. The question is whether the economic benefits — cheaper lending, more efficient banks, more capital flowing toward government-favored projects — are worth accepting a slightly higher tail risk.

Britain is making that bet partly because it needs growth badly. Reeves has staked much of her economic credibility on unlocking investment, and loosening financial regulation is one lever she can pull without spending money the government says it doesn't have. The banks, for their part, have been lobbying for exactly this kind of relief for years.

The announcement expected next week is proposals, not final rules — so the details of how far the firewall actually comes down remain to be seen. But the direction is now clear. Britain is deciding that the safety architecture it built after the last crisis is, sixteen years on, more burden than protection.

Whether that's wisdom or wishful thinking tends to become obvious only in hindsight.