Mondelez just beat Wall Street on $9.4bn in cookies and chocolate

Photo: Markus Winkler
Mondelez International pulled in $9.36 billion in revenue last quarter, topping Wall Street's estimate of $9.20 billion, and the story behind that beat says something real about where consumers are right now: stretched, but still buying cookies.
The company that makes Oreos, Cadbury chocolate, and a long shelf of other snacks reported adjusted profit of 73 cents per share, against an expected 68 cents. Its shares rose 2% in after-hours trading. But the more interesting number is what happened in North America, the company's biggest market. Volume grew 1.2 percentage points in the second quarter after a slow start to 2026. For a snack brand trying to read the American consumer, that's a meaningful uptick.
What actually moved the needle
The single biggest factor was a global cocoa surplus. Cocoa prices had surged through 2024 and into 2025 as bad harvests tightened supply, squeezing the margins of every chocolate maker on earth. Now a surplus has driven those bean prices back down, giving Mondelez more room to breathe financially and more flexibility to run promotions and offer value packs without bleeding profit.
That matters for shoppers because tighter margins had been pushing snack prices up. Some of that pressure is now easing, which is part of why volumes are recovering.
The K-shaped snack aisle
Here is where the consumer picture gets complicated. Rachel Wolff, an analyst at eMarketer, said the North America rebound "could reflect a more resilient U.S. consumer," but added a sharp qualification: "growth remains K-shaped as shoppers opt for either value packages or premium formats."
K-shaped is a useful way to describe what's happening here. The middle of the market is hollowing out. Some shoppers are hunting for the cheapest version of a product they still want. Others are spending more for something that feels elevated or indulgent. The brands that figure out how to serve both ends simultaneously are winning. The ones aimed squarely at the middle are getting squeezed.
Mondelez is explicitly adjusting to this. The company is leaning into smaller package sizes for shoppers watching every dollar, while also launching new products to attract consumers willing to spend more. It has also been expanding its zero-sugar and gluten-free Oreo lines as more shoppers pay attention to nutrition.
What to watch going forward
Mondelez raised its full-year revenue growth forecast from "flat to up 2%" to a firmer 2%, a modest but real upgrade. It kept its annual profit forecast the same, at flat to up 5%.
Latin America and emerging markets like India are growing faster, with organic revenue up 8.4% and 5.3% respectively last quarter. That's a reminder that Mondelez is a genuinely global business, and its overall health depends on more than the American snack aisle.
The cocoa surplus is the wild card. If it holds, snack companies will have more room to compete on price, which could mean slightly better deals for shoppers and healthier margins for brands. If supply tightens again, the pricing pressure that squeezed everyone in 2024 could return quickly.
For now, the signal from this earnings report is that Americans haven't stopped buying snacks. They're just buying them differently, and the brands paying close attention to exactly how are the ones still growing.









