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Stellantis is spending $1.16 billion in France, and the bet is far from sure

Stellantis is spending $1.16 billion in France, and the bet is far from sure

Photo: Ludovic Delot

Stellantis just committed $1.16 billion to a manufacturing plant in Hordain, France, and the company badly needs the move to work. Profits are already falling short of what Wall Street expected, Chinese rivals are eating into European market share, and the automaker is simultaneously trying to cut €6 billion in annual costs by 2028. Spending and saving at the same time is a difficult act to sustain.

The Hordain upgrade is part of a larger €60 billion five-year plan that CEO Antonio Filosa is using to reposition the company. The money will go toward improving manufacturing efficiency, pulling some production work back in-house from outside suppliers, and expanding research and development for new models. Separately, Stellantis has already confirmed more than €1 billion of investment at its Mulhouse plant, where three new Peugeot electric and hybrid models are set to begin production in 2029.

Two bets running at once

What makes this interesting is that Stellantis is not picking a single technology and going all-in. The company is explicitly maintaining what it calls a multi-energy strategy, meaning it intends to sell electric vehicles, hybrids, and conventional combustion engines side by side. That approach requires more investment across more platforms, which is part of why the capital commitments are this large.

To spread the cost, Stellantis is leaning on partnerships. It has deals with Chinese manufacturers Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology and Dongfeng Motor to share production capacity at plants in Spain and France. The logic is straightforward: factories that sit half-empty are expensive, so filling them with partner vehicles improves the economics even if it means Stellantis is partially assembling competitors' products.

The pressure driving all of this is real. Chinese electric vehicle brands have been gaining ground in Europe by undercutting on price in ways that established Western automakers genuinely struggle to match. Stellantis earned €293 million in net income in the second quarter, well below the €464 million analysts had expected. That gap matters because it signals that the cost pressure is already showing up in the numbers, before the competitive environment gets any harder.

What this means for workers and buyers

For workers at the Hordain plant, an investment of this scale is better news than the alternative. Overcapacity has been a real problem at some Stellantis facilities, and Filosa has acknowledged it publicly. Plants where capacity utilization is low are always at risk of consolidation. A major upgrade at least signals that Hordain has a role in the company's future plans.

For European car buyers, the multi-energy strategy probably means more model choices over the next few years, particularly in the van and light commercial vehicle segment that Hordain produces. Whether those vehicles are competitively priced against Chinese options remains the open question.

The honest uncertainty here is on timing. Stellantis has not publicly detailed when the Hordain investment will actually translate into production volume or improved margins. The Mulhouse electric models are not starting until 2029. That is a long runway during which the competitive landscape could shift considerably.

Hedge funds appear to be pricing in that uncertainty. The number of funds holding Stellantis shares dropped from 32 to 26 between the first and second quarter of this year, according to the Insider Monkey Database, a sign that institutional confidence in the near-term story has softened.

Stellantis is essentially making a long-duration wager: spend heavily now on manufacturing and new models, absorb the near-term pain, and emerge with enough scale and efficiency to hold ground against cheaper rivals. That strategy is coherent. Whether the European market gives the company enough time to execute it is a different question.